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A new study finds that people tend to overestimate the size of small demographic groups because of cognitive errors in estimation of small proportions, not necessarily because of misinformation, ignorance, or animus. The authors emphasize that their findings do not negate the existence of those effects.

https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2413064122 (not open access)

Preprint at https://www.brianguay.com/files/guay_2024_misperceptions.pdf